Financial Forecasting Challenge

Winner: LiDer

Many thanks to all who took part in this challenge!
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Leaderboard

The public marks are the best weighted mean square errors per user for the 'public' part of the test data.

The private marks are the weighted mean square errors for the selected submission per user on the 'private' part of the test data, i.e. the private mark and the public mark for a user may not be for the same submission.

Rank
User
Private Mark
#
Rank
Private Mark
#
1
0.282720
166
LiDer LiDer
2
0.283326
111
Humberto Brandão Humberto Brandão
3
0.284366
37
DeePBluE DeePBluE
4
0.284400
58
Joao Peinado Joao Peinado
5
0.285059
46
Thistle Singer Thistle Singer
6
0.285204
74
Everton Silva Everton Silva
7
0.285587
10
nabrac nabrac
8
0.285830
58
Fernando Santos Fernando Santos
9
0.286484
35
ShakeShakeShakeIt ShakeShakeShakeIt
10
0.286919
48
Kacper Madej Kacper Madej
11
0.288638
66
Jules van Ligtenberg Jules van Ligtenberg
12
0.289449
75
Santos Santos
13
0.289676
161
Paddy Boris Paddy Boris
14
0.289916
143
doovd doovd
15
0.290062
29
absol absol
16
0.290258
37
psaras psaras
17
0.290602
38
andre andre
18
0.290982
70
Adib Surani Adib Surani
19
0.291354
61
T Sh T Sh
20
0.291461
46
nazben nazben
21
0.291781
54
pluto pluto
22
0.291842
30
MikeSecurity MikeSecurity
23
0.291949
17
Sam Sam
24
0.291999
37
Elochka Elochka
25
0.292123
63
ElChacal ElChacal
26
0.292419
19
jonny jonny
27
0.292632
23
Dmitry Dmitry
28
0.292852
40
Yue Gang Yue Gang
29
0.293278
53
Bukosabino Bukosabino
30
0.293395
24
greyzor greyzor
31
0.294116
11
achu achu
32
0.294135
138
EmptyYourCup EmptyYourCup
33
0.294681
27
TopCat TopCat
34
0.294750
14
DavidBrent DavidBrent
35
0.295781
11
Onepoint power Onepoint power
36
0.296018
108
BRISCOM BRISCOM
37
0.296241
3
Igor Alesey Igor Alesey
38
0.296767
42
Rom Rom
39
0.296978
12
mxgbol mxgbol
40
0.297073
80
hxbit hxbit
41
0.297105
24
ngal ngal
42
0.298051
67
barselona barselona
43
0.298332
127
HitTheMarket HitTheMarket
44
0.298404
73
diota diota
45
0.298508
33
Coricos Coricos
46
0.298572
35
LordGiroud LordGiroud
47
0.298626
24
KishMan KishMan
48
0.298968
38
nothingspecial nothingspecial
49
0.299076
58
szabot szabot
50
0.300186
2
dxdy dxdy
51
0.300360
3
anonemaus anonemaus
52
0.300418
14
fFranck Ngamkan fFranck Ngamkan
53
0.300721
76
Dubinich Dubinich
54
0.300893
16
sgerar sgerar
55
0.301130
15
BeMayer BeMayer
56
0.301193
44
XoTeckLogistics XoTeckLogistics
57
0.301540
16
raphael raphael
58
0.301822
12
zpRXbfID zpRXbfID
59
0.301825
7
Mario Mario
60
0.301923
28
algomaus algomaus
61
0.302130
73
ManinBlk ManinBlk
62
0.302395
13
thedev thedev
63
0.302456
9
Debut Debut
64
0.302560
53
HiddenLay HiddenLay
65
0.302757
49
csc csc
66
0.303264
19
DDCC DDCC
67
0.303367
19
YCC YCC
68
0.303677
18
FacMat FacMat
69
0.304024
8
gabora gabora
70
0.304266
16
PRB PRB
71
0.304607
5
Fengari Fengari
72
0.305458
10
lelly lelly
73
0.305761
3
Karen Karen
74
0.305875
6
arminosaurus arminosaurus
75
0.306005
13
zol zol
76
0.306287
16
hong hong
77
0.306310
17
CPY CPY
78
0.306366
14
bart bart
79
0.306505
5
nknudde nknudde
80
0.306564
10
J S J S
81
0.306799
17
WRC WRC
82
0.306843
12
anriseth anriseth
83
0.306924
29
MellonBA MellonBA
84
0.306946
21
Daniel Daniel
85
0.307059
68
Popp Popp
86
0.307160
19
thecountofnothing thecountofnothing
87
0.307281
25
NaN NaN
88
0.307651
53
Datageek Datageek
89
0.307684
4
krz krz
90
0.307812
33
Hello Hello
91
0.307933
7
Matthew Matthew
92
0.308387
23
dsn dsn
93
0.308537
37
Ovidiu Cotlet Ovidiu Cotlet
94
0.308662
46
Igestb Igestb
95
0.308676
26
ziggy ziggy
96
0.308873
33
Kamil Dreczkowski Kamil Dreczkowski
97
0.309087
31
STW STW
98
0.309308
10
KamiKaze KamiKaze
99
0.309777
14
VictorD VictorD
100
0.309907
12
marc marc
101
0.310170
20
eresatore eresatore
102
0.310417
2
TJH TJH
103
0.310920
45
Stefano Stefano
104
0.310928
19
Hoofay Hoofay
105
0.311031
34
Imaging Imaging
106
0.311032
8
ViolaZ ViolaZ
107
0.311160
17
MPK MPK
108
0.311892
21
DrBrouwer DrBrouwer
109
0.312431
1
AstroBoi AstroBoi
110
0.312606
36
Yoloswag Yoloswag
111
0.312954
1
Genoveffo Genoveffo
112
0.312985
12
Taylor Taylor
113
0.313748
45
Sorelz Sorelz
114
0.314269
3
ddt ddt
115
0.314306
5
jureso jureso
116
0.314405
19
Coursos Coursos
117
0.314854
30
it b it b
118
0.314891
1
gtr gtr
119
0.314981
47
orchid orchid
120
0.315493
19
G and T G and T
121
0.315669
2
kurczaki kurczaki
122
0.316052
14
stoumdi stoumdi
123
0.316312
10
Dr G Dr G
124
0.316575
27
thebet thebet
125
0.316710
1
oldrichsmejkal oldrichsmejkal
126
0.316782
5
Tracy Zhang Tracy Zhang
127
0.316809
18
spv spv
128
0.317341
3
yuetongyc yuetongyc
129
0.317368
14
ncant ncant
130
0.317371
7
Rookieskywalker Rookieskywalker
131
0.317688
2
bravid bravid
132
0.317742
5
Arthur Arthur
133
0.317795
26
coho coho
134
0.318021
4
sqlm sqlm
135
0.318136
15
Glueball Glueball
136
0.318572
26
Ralph Ralph
137
0.318797
10
xjdeng xjdeng
138
0.319215
4
Ermenegildo Ermenegildo
139
0.319273
2
SamPlayle SamPlayle
140
0.319854
3
HoneyBadger HoneyBadger
141
0.319857
25
Icarekc Icarekc
142
0.320055
27
yaniyani yaniyani
143
0.320282
11
Mala Mala
144
0.320397
10
Meenams Meenams
145
0.320580
30
Joe Joe
146
0.320636
17
rog rog
147
0.320680
9
vadgmas vadgmas
148
0.320921
24
pana pana
149
0.321209
6
o o o o
150
0.321370
8
Quant Quant
151
0.321794
11
Matths Matths
152
0.321854
3
Rivkaaa Rivkaaa
153
0.322009
1
blessingoladeji blessingoladeji
154
0.322535
15
Callum McIntyre Callum McIntyre
155
0.322567
14
Li bai Li bai
156
0.322745
22
Ola Ola
157
0.323070
5
ATB ATB
158
0.323240
15
ajrwilliams ajrwilliams
159
0.323583
22
Randomaniac Randomaniac
160
0.323695
1
Clizia Clizia
161
0.324518
9
noname noname
162
0.324910
8
Artem Artem
163
0.325150
7
ignoramus ignoramus
164
0.325351
17
PauloMarco PauloMarco
165
0.325412
10
YafengCheng YafengCheng
166
0.325487
13
emalgorithm emalgorithm
167
0.325964
2
alset alset
168
0.326278
7
Divakar Kumar Divakar Kumar
169
0.326809
4
Hippo Hippo
170
0.327502
17
Afct Afct
171
0.327869
9
ffchat ffchat
172
0.328234
13
mlexplorer mlexplorer
173
0.328715
16
jcur jcur
174
0.329746
14
HavingCakeEatingIt HavingCakeEatingIt
175
0.330347
4
Konrad Konrad
176
0.330872
3
MockTurtle MockTurtle
177
0.332013
5
SHR SHR
178
0.332093
19
Fabian Fabian
179
0.332165
9
Luobida Luobida
180
0.332665
14
overfits overfits
181
0.333960
13
abk abk
182
0.334439
5
SpaceLlama SpaceLlama
183
0.335225
3
Soumojit Soumojit
184
0.335558
9
JRO JRO
185
0.336518
17
risky risky
186
0.336873
11
TheNative TheNative
187
0.337072
11
Hassan Hassan
188
0.338065
21
Blue Blue
189
0.338514
10
rodlm rodlm
190
0.338583
23
TKTest TKTest
191
0.339240
9
whatamidoing whatamidoing
192
0.340165
13
jbo jbo
193
0.341064
30
Rishank Singh Rishank Singh
194
0.341096
3
mathiew mathiew
195
0.341122
1
ben hoyle ben hoyle
196
0.341649
27
hellebore hellebore
197
0.350563
30
VSK VSK
198
0.350565
1
Kyle Kyle
199
0.352065
11
eigenstate eigenstate
200
0.356660
17
nuric nuric
201
0.357409
11
ladidalimey ladidalimey
202
0.359174
10
cfgny cfgny
203
0.359183
5
Patterning Patterning
204
0.359628
12
DroneKid DroneKid
205
0.361180
6
DrSquirrel DrSquirrel
206
0.362577
2
thomasb thomasb
207
0.362645
24
QPyWar QPyWar
208
0.362932
12
TadasSubonis TadasSubonis
209
0.363176
2
max max
210
0.364793
8
jobi wan kenobi jobi wan kenobi
211
0.364852
17
Stan The Man Stan The Man
212
0.368037
5
OSM OSM
213
0.368044
6
Alan Alan
214
0.369224
24
iTeimouri iTeimouri
215
0.371131
22
Rick Rick
216
0.372367
12
apg apg
217
0.373429
10
William William
218
0.374386
10
Dominik Dominik
219
0.375514
3
GoodAtNothing GoodAtNothing
220
0.375910
1
Newtons Apple Newtons Apple
221
0.376162
4
dfdf dfdf
222
0.377612
7
argha argha
223
0.378250
15
andre andre
224
0.378444
16
unluy unluy
225
0.379004
3
LucaG LucaG
226
0.379035
7
Aarav Aarav
227
0.379118
4
jwc jwc
228
0.380465
7
Arribas Arribas
229
0.380611
4
The Unpredictables The Unpredictables
230
0.383527
16
Tom Tom
231
0.384833
3
BRUNO BRUNO
232
0.385367
6
lepraunch lepraunch
233
0.387806
2
sebphysicist sebphysicist
234
0.388398
4
alps alps
235
0.388682
6
alidrad alidrad
236
0.390436
12
hadaa hadaa
237
0.392104
9
TeaStains TeaStains
238
0.392933
13
uosiu uosiu
239
0.393926
31
Sofia Sofia
240
0.394311
14
hobbeslobs hobbeslobs
241
0.394704
2
daniele daniele
242
0.396940
5
Rey Rey
243
0.397101
12
Dinu Dinu
244
0.397455
18
pbuchana pbuchana
245
0.398127
23
wic wic
246
0.398571
13
sushch sushch
247
0.398622
8
andreshc andreshc
248
0.398645
15
VeryStableGenius VeryStableGenius
249
0.398646
3
scientist scientist
250
0.399334
6
Sidd Sidd
251
0.399544
3
BenoitBalzac BenoitBalzac
252
0.399544
1
Tutorial Model 1 - Mean model Tutorial Model 1 - Mean model
252
0.399544
10
pawel pawel
252
0.399544
1
qxria qxria
252
0.399544
7
EvolvedAI EvolvedAI
252
0.399544
1
motionstorm motionstorm
252
0.399544
2
Quitito Quitito
252
0.399544
2
Marcin Michorzewski Marcin Michorzewski
252
0.399544
2
janet janet
252
0.399544
5
finlaymac finlaymac
252
0.399544
3
Xtian Xtian
252
0.399544
1
pokerpoker pokerpoker
252
0.399544
10
Massimo Massimo
252
0.399544
4
too easy too easy
252
0.399544
2
Maro Maro
266
0.399544
2
chaos chaos
266
0.399544
1
pwswierczynski pwswierczynski
266
0.399544
2
Incitatus Incitatus
269
0.399544
3
sharksharkbark sharksharkbark
270
0.400027
4
mag mag
271
0.401698
7
MRC MRC
271
0.401698
10
Daniel Daniel
271
0.401698
5
okomarov okomarov
271
0.401698
6
Tautvydas Tautvydas
275
0.403137
6
JJRousseau JJRousseau
276
0.404628
9
Fia Fia
277
0.404947
10
hbianc hbianc
278
0.405758
2
tom tom
279
0.406938
11
artemy artemy
280
0.408951
39
Amadocta Amadocta
281
0.409321
12
Amine Amine
282
0.409410
8
Arabeli Arabeli
283
0.410357
6
deanm deanm
284
0.410855
4
Emcid Emcid
285
0.414536
3
RAJAT PALIWAL RAJAT PALIWAL
286
0.414540
5
MaryP MaryP
287
0.418752
6
trialnerror trialnerror
288
0.418942
4
jaysha jaysha
289
0.420091
2
Aoullay Aoullay
290
0.424696
3
zmiranda zmiranda
291
0.442278
1
Seyed Seyed
292
0.446593
9
KilgoreTrout KilgoreTrout
293
0.446900
5
jlevy jlevy
294
0.447268
5
LastDay LastDay
295
0.447983
10
Tibbles Tibbles
296
0.448708
1
pkuxiaoxiao pkuxiaoxiao
297
0.449495
1
Stephen Stephen
298
0.450775
36
alecsphys alecsphys
299
0.450912
1
Pumuckel Pumuckel
300
0.451429
7
mrdata mrdata
301
0.451474
27
Snoop Snoop
302
0.451500
2
raf raf
303
0.452244
3
mcheikh mcheikh
304
0.452910
9
finroth finroth
305
0.453464
4
Eternalist Eternalist
306
0.453467
2
kproductivity kproductivity
307
0.453487
3
Marcus Marcus
308
0.453635
1
Prasanna Prasanna
308
0.453635
3
Margaret Margaret
308
0.453635
4
mhe mhe
311
0.453635
2
ismith ismith
312
0.453966
1
Straw Straw
313
0.454374
1
ianpan ianpan
314
0.454422
8
Tommy Tommy
315
0.454554
1
alex alex
316
0.455637
1
kgene kgene
317
0.457938
4
folaraz folaraz
318
0.457945
1
yumigoo yumigoo
319
0.458204
2
MarekM MarekM
320
0.459064
6
Christoph Christoph
321
0.459695
3
shayk shayk
322
0.459705
1
Blastro Blastro
323
0.461413
3
dbabek dbabek
324
0.462095
2
majkee majkee
325
0.462143
1
Tutorial Model 2 - Linear model Tutorial Model 2 - Linear model
325
0.462143
1
MTo MTo
325
0.462143
1
Vacillus Vacillus
325
0.462143
1
tallamjr tallamjr
325
0.462143
4
Pepe Pepe
325
0.462143
1
Martin Martin
325
0.462143
1
Jiangpei Chen Jiangpei Chen
325
0.462143
1
Julia Julia
333
0.462143
3
Tom K Tom K
333
0.462143
2
RCP RCP
335
0.462143
1
SIS SIS
336
0.462143
1
yoyshy yoyshy
337
0.462819
2
geof geof
338
0.468692
8
shah shah
339
0.469446
1
sgrieger sgrieger
340
0.471740
1
MGatwick MGatwick
341
0.472469
19
Nemo Nemo
342
0.475010
14
KiBaAshaJay KiBaAshaJay
343
0.484133
1
MrBright MrBright
344
0.485249
3
ComboCosmo ComboCosmo
345
0.485255
10
MihaiB MihaiB
346
0.488604
7
Nayssi Nayssi
347
0.491101
5
neurobot neurobot
348
0.491809
11
oserban oserban
349
0.495179
16
mystic mystic
350
0.497508
6
gnzEleven gnzEleven
351
0.498298
2
Galileo Galileo
352
0.498316
4
Mohsen Mohsen
353
0.498664
4
Wiki Wiki
354
0.499055
14
OrchidTamer OrchidTamer
354
0.499055
3
Darryl Wright Darryl Wright
354
0.499055
4
rsor rsor
357
0.499977
11
jinnerbi jinnerbi
358
0.501320
17
Shant Shant
359
0.501889
2
vanches vanches
360
0.501949
3
cantaycaliskan cantaycaliskan
361
0.506527
1
Harrison Harrison
362
0.506637
15
DayTrader DayTrader
363
0.511131
6
JonKnight JonKnight
364
0.513791
10
Julie Julie
365
0.515949
5
Young Young
366
0.516807
6
Artir Artir
367
0.517071
1
gfal gfal
368
0.518684
2
JamesA JamesA
369
0.522742
1
Minimax Minimax
370
0.523515
6
RufusMagnus RufusMagnus
371
0.597095
18
DarthAgnan DarthAgnan
372
0.618223
2
traveler traveler
373
0.644904
9
baldy baldy
374
0.672083
12
pboenisch pboenisch
375
0.681908
2
VincenzoBattista VincenzoBattista
376
0.720512
10
JaviFdezCastanon JaviFdezCastanon
377
0.724509
2
Hancox Hancox
378
0.772459
7
TXC TXC
379
1.629099
3
WBlack WBlack
380
1.629633
10
TlY TlY
381
1.895569
14
odp odp
382
1.970763
2
NJP NJP
383
2.131453
2
dkb dkb
384
2.465018
2
Test Test
385
2.595792
1
eme eme
386
3.325489
1
cuplee cuplee
387
4.436209
1
mtazzari mtazzari
388
6.248744
26
misha misha
389
7.206152
1
Secret K Secret K
390
7.723966
1
Lloyd Foster Lloyd Foster
391
8.163198
2
ClaudioLur ClaudioLur
392
15.82274
10
cyt cyt
393
17.46468
1
Be Careful Be Careful
394
296.6472
3
ДНК ДНК
395
337.3847
4
wmycroft wmycroft
396
422.1826
1
dhandl dhandl
397
1755.174
2
IDivideByZero IDivideByZero
398
20834.82
10
GoldenBoy GoldenBoy
399
35157.18
3
FazC FazC
400
64659.59
1
Matt Matt
401
75892.24
2
Skywalker Skywalker
402
59673264
1
Mathsputin Mathsputin
403
1460608200
1
darioses darioses
404
8400584775
1
luz luz
405
11520541249
1
sarriz sarriz
406
331649222717067000000000
1
justind justind

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